Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Indian Stock Market Trends: Gold Bonds, Credit Card Debt, and More

What sensational did you missed this week?

  • Subscription for Series IV of Sovereign Gold Bond Scheme (SGB) will close today. Issue price = Rs 5,561 per gram (price of gold is usually denoted in price of 10 gram per gold. In this case, Rs 55,610 per 10 gram).
  • Credit cards’ outstanding amount rose 30% in Jan 2023 to reach an all-time high of Rs 1.87 lakh Cr: RBI.
  • Vehicle sales rose by 16% year-on-year in Feb 2023: FADA
  • Important Update: The last date to add a nominee to your Demat account is March 31. After this, the Demat account will be frozen.

What can you learn from this?

  1. Hedging through Gold ETFs and SGBs can be a good step towards diversification of your portfolio.
  2. Quarterly Fundamental Analysis of the Credit Card Sector as there could be a potential risk of NPA and amount recovery failure, which might result in slump of the card stock prices.
  3. Quarterly Fundamental Analysis of the Automobile manufacturing sector, as increasing sales could lead to some good short term buying opportunities. 

Upcoming IPOs:

Global Surfaces IPO opens on 13.03.2023, 10.00 A.M. and closes on 15.03.2023, 5.00 P.M. It is engaged in the processing of natural stones and manufacturing engineered quartz.

Video in Focus!

Market Outlook this coming week!

Focused Story of the Week: Problems with Indian market in recent times

You might be wondering why Indian Markets are slipping, despite performing way better than global markets in the past. Let’s dive deep into the major reasons behind this recent swing downtrend.

Retail Traders losing interest in Stock Markets

According to NSE data in the cash market, the turnover was at

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  • ₹10,20,626 crore – Jan ’23
  • ₹11,60,846 crore – Dec’22
  • ₹12,01,108 crore – Nov’22

There is a steady fall.
Even Nithin Kamath said “they have already seen an almost 50% fall in monthly new account openings from January this year and this trend has been similar across the industry.”

Retail Trading activity data

FII selling heavily

For the first time ever Sensex and Nifty ended up in red for 9 days.

In fact, from (1st Jan 2023 – 7th March 2023) FIIs have sold Rs 39241 Cr which is very high as it’s just been 2 months.

Moreover, FIIs control the Indian Market!

The blue line in the graph represents Nifty and the maroon bars in the graph represents FII activity.

You will observe a very strong correlation. When FIIs sell , the Nifty line declines steeply and when the FIIs start buying, the nifty starts advancing.

Indian Markets are OVERVALUED !

Emerging Markets is trading at 10 times. Indian Markets is trading at 21 times.

PE Ratios of markets of different countries

Stock Trading Certification Course and Stock Market Courses can be useful to learn more about investing in the stock market and improving your portfolio management skills. Additionally, with the current rise in credit card outstanding amounts and potential risks in the credit card sector, it may be a good idea to conduct a Quarterly Fundamental Analysis of this sector. Similarly, the increase in vehicle sales may present good short term buying opportunities and warrant a Quarterly Fundamental Analysis of the automobile manufacturing sector.

Question of the Week #7

Replies with correct answers (within first 10 mins of receiving this newsletter), will get a shoutout from us…
PS: Don’t forget to share your Instagram handle too in the reply!

What is FALSE for a stock which is in ASM or Additional Surveillance Measures list?

  1. These stocks can not be pledged.
  2. These stocks are denied Intraday leverages.
  3. Trading in these stocks is forbidden.
  4. These stocks are subject to 5% circuit filter. 

Answer to Week#6 was option 2: Free float market capitalization method excludes locked-in shares, such as Insiders, Promoters and Governments.

Word of the week

Penny Stocks: Penny stocks are those that trade at a very low price, have very low market capitalization, are mostly illiquid, and are usually listed on a smaller exchange. Penny stocks in the Indian stock market can have prices below Rs 100.

Discover the 5-step stock selection process in our next webinar
Date: Friday, 19th July at 7:30PM IST
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Our blogs are made for educational purposes only, and we do not provide investment recommendations. We are not SEBI-registered advisors and do not accept cryptocurrency payments. We present publicly available facts and data, not favoring any company.

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